June 10, 2008

Ethanol prices plunge 3.6% in latest week

        Ethanol rack prices took a substantial dive. All tracked spot locations fell by at least 7¢, with the Gulf Coast drop-off less dramatic but East and West coastal markets even weaker. Early in the week, dealers reported that they were still seeing strong buying activity at terminal locations, prodded by record corn and oil prices, but by Thursday ethanol prices had fallen 3.6% – in a marked separation from both historical anchors.

        The market has already been factoring in reduced corn production, a market source said, but prices could re-align after traders digest Tuesday's USDA Prospective Plantings report.

        Much of the decline in overall prices stemmed from a fall in Midwest racks, which were about 9 to 11¢ a gallon lower on the week to about $2.38 to $2.39 a gallon.

        The national average declined 9¢ to $2.43 a gallon, or 3.6%, according to data tracked by Ethanol & Biodiesel News, putting prices at near-March levels.

        There was renewed speculation from observers that blending was inching closer to saturation, including a note from Antoine Halff, an analyst at brokerage firm Newedge.

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Record-high feedstock prices point to unprecedented margin pressure

        Ethanol producers are bracing for record-high feedstock prices after July corn surged to a new trading record of $6.6725/bushel Monday on the Chicago Board of Trade.

        Heavy rains, severe winds, and tornadoes throughout the Midwest have propelled corn futures to their third straight record session.

        Meantime, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said Tuesday it expects the 2008/09 marketing-year average farm price for corn at 30¢ higher on both ends of the range, at $5.30 to $6.30 per bushel.

        Farmers are experiencing the worst weather they have seen since 1993, when U.S. crops suffered from weeks of rain that eventually led to the severe flooding of the Mississippi river.

        On top of that, this season's U.S. corn crop was planted late because of heavy rain and emerged from the ground later than in past years, which could lead to mid-summer heat damage and lower yields.

 

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Seed biotech promises to double feedstock yields by 2030, says Monsanto

        Both ethanol and biodiesel producers perked up when the CEO of Monsanto, the leading producer of genetically engineered seed, pledged last week to develop seeds that would double the yields of corn and soybeans and cut water, land and energy requirements by 30% worldwide.

        Chief Executive Hugh Grant announced the initiative during a company meeting, indicating that the company's research and development team has been developing crops that are increasingly resistant to drought and pests.

        “If we succeed in doubling yields, it absolutely changes the opportunity for food availability,” Grant said, referring to rising food prices and growing food shortages that led to last week's U.N. summit meeting in Rome.

        “We believe that it’s possible to double corn yields in the United States by 2030 to 300 bushels per acre,” said Brett D. Begemann, Executive VP at St. Louis, MO.-based Monsanto at a Merrill Lynch analyst conference on Wednesday.

        Monsanto, whose development of genetically engineered seeds has often made it a target of controversy, said it made the commitment after consulting farmers, political leaders, academics and advocacy groups as to what’s needed to be done to increase food production in an environmentally conscious manner.

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VOLUME:XX NO:24

 

 

MARKET REPORT

 

PRICES
Ethanol ($/gal) Oxygenates ($/gal)
Biodiesel ($/gal) Butanes/Nat Gas ($/gal)
Gasoline ($/gal) Co-Products ($/gal)
Retail E-85 ($/gal) Grains ($/gal)
FUTURES

 

 

1GreenHunter Energy opens largest biodiesel plant in U.S.

The first rail shipments of animal fats to the refinery and storage facilities will be processed under a tolling arrangement beginning in June.

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1San Francisco to build first-ever yellow/brown grease biodiesel facility

The San Francisco Public Utilities Commission has issued the development a $1 million grant.

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1Energy bills blocked from U.S. Senate floor

H.R. 6049 would have extended tax breaks for alternative energy sources and promoted energy efficiency and conservation.

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1Frost & Sullivan: biofuel industry revenues to double by 2012

        Regulatory support, coupled with the need to address the geopolitical risk posed by relying on the Middle East and Venezuela, is driving the growth of the North American market.

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1Bill to cut ethanol import tariff introduced in Senate

        The proposal would re-hash much of the biofuels controversy in last December's energy bill and furthermore has been introduced late in the legislative session.

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1Short-term supply issues, input costs seen responsible for high food prices

        In the four-year timeframe New Energy Finance studied, the number of physical delivery has grown faster than speculative trades.

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1Tyson-ConocoPhillips renewable diesel production now at 300-500 bbls/day

        Construction is expected to begin in the fall of 2008 with completion targeted for the end of 2009.

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14Rivers to buy Midwest Renewable’s ethanol plant

        Kentucky-based 4Rivers BioEnergy agreed to buy the plant last Thursday.

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1Dow and Brazilian company to make plastic from ethanol

        The plant is expected to start production in 2011.

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